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Modelling COVID-19 Transmission: From Data to Intervention

Published time: 01 April 2020

Authors: Zhongwei Jia, Zuhong Lu

Keywords: COVID-19, Epidemics, Transmission


The speed and scope of detection of an infectious disease, in particular, timely identification and reporting of a new pathogen, is a major indicator of a country’s ability to control infectious diseases. Findings of the Global Health Security (GHS) index1 suggest that only 19% of countries have the ability to quickly detect and report epidemics of potential international concern, fewer than 5% of countries can rapidly respond to and mitigate the spread of an epidemic, and no country is fully prepared for epidemics or pandemics. Experience with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) seems to have confirmed these findings.

Modelling COVID-19 transmission; from data to intervention



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